2G scam: Why UPA fears a JPC

It's learnt that Congress troubleshooters carried out an internal exercise last week only to realise that the ruling combine will effectively be in a minority in any JPC. Even though a JPC is constituted on the basis of proportional representation depending on each party's strength in Parliament, the UPA found itself in a rather peculiar situation.

On their own, the Congress and its UPA allies represented in the government account for 259 seats in Lok Sabha and 91 in Rajya Sabha. Their majority in Lok Sabha is made up by parties extending outside support like the SP, BSP and RJD.

Back of the envelope calculations -- the government did so in a bid to get Parliament to function -- showed that in a 30-member JPC, the Congress along with UPA constituents in the government would get only 14 members.

This would mean representatives of parties like SP and BSP could become key players. The BSP's stunning silence on the issue and SP's participation in thronging the well of the House made the Congress a touch nervous.

A JPC without assured majority control, sources said, raised all sorts of concerns like whether the PM and other senior ministers would be embarrassed through repeated questioning. Even though the chair would belong to the UPA, there could be constant political pressure and the Committee itself could turn into a "political weapon" against the Treasury.

2G scam: Why UPA fears a JPC

When it comes to forming a JPC, the convention is that members are drawn from both Houses in a 2:1 ratio favouring the Lok Sabha. Since it is based on proportional representation, the ruling combine should have a majority. But in this case, the UPA relies on outside support to make up the last fraction of its majority and that is where the complication is.

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, while staking claim, had submitted a list of parties with a total tally of 315 MPs supporting the UPA. These included those supporting from outside. Within the government, the numbers are: Congress 208, Trinamool Congress 19, DMK 18, NCP 9, National Conference 3 and Muslim League 2. This works out to 259 in a House of 545. The rest were made up by SP, BSP and others.

In case of the Upper House, the total tally of parties represented in the government works out to only 91 out of a total strength of 243 members. The other twist is that a party like Lalu Prasad's RJD may not find any representation because it has only four members in Lok Sabha. On the other hand, Samajwadi Party with 22 MPs in the Lok Sabha, BSP with 21 will definitely get representation in any JPC. Herein lies the trouble for the Congress.

The numbers suggest that representatives of the political parties represented in the government will be 7 in case of a 15-member JPC; 14 in case of a 30-member JPC; and only 21 in a 45-member JPC.

Three of the four JPCs constituted by the government in the past -- Bofors (1987), securities scam (1992) and stock market scam (2001) -- had 30 members while the 2003 JPC into the cola case had 15 members.

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